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Answer for the clue "The improbability of a specified outcome ", 12 letters:
unlikeliness

Word definitions for unlikeliness in dictionaries

Wiktionary Word definitions in Wiktionary
n. The property of being unlikely, improbability.

WordNet Word definitions in WordNet
n. the improbability of a specified outcome [syn: unlikelihood ] [ant: likelihood , likelihood ]

The Collaborative International Dictionary Word definitions in The Collaborative International Dictionary
Unlikeliness \Un*like"li*ness\, n. The quality or state of being unlikely.

Usage examples of unlikeliness.

She was struck, as she always was when passing it, by the unlikeliness of its placing.

But, given the enemy's possession of radar, Maia knew the unlikeliness of a clean getaway.

Elements of the outlandish and the fantastic will come and go, their unlikeliness often unremarked.