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Wiktionary
leading indicator

n. 1 An phenomenon that generally occurs in advance of an important phenomenon, aiding in its prediction. 2 (context economics English) A phenomenon that is predictive of the overall level of economic activity, especially one for which reliable statistics are available; a leading economic indicator.

WordNet
leading indicator

n. one of 11 indicators for different sections of the economy; used by the Department of Commerce to predict economic trends in the near future